7/14/2021
The Betting Parlor
There were two season high returns in week 9 starting with the Pick 5. The 50-cent Pick 5 on Saturday that returned one lucky ticket holder $33,298.95. Yep, just 1 winning ticket on Saturday. This was and has been much to the contrary of the horizontal bets (the pick 3, 4, 5, 6 and DD) recently and is usually what happens in a race season.
The consecutive win bets usually pay a lot more early in a season as bettors are trying to get a feel for who is ready to run, which barns are hot, how will shipping horses do compared to those who have been in training and so on.
The Pick 3 high average pay-offs was peaked on day 9, June 16, with a 375-1 average pay for that day and pushing the overall average to it’s highest of the season at 201-1. Since then it has dwindled 159-1 with a few days of good pay-outs. The Pick 4 also topped out on June 16th paying off the 3 Pick-4’s of an average of more than $1,500 and boosting the season average to 1,193-1. Since that high point the season average has dropped to as low as 833-1 but got a boost this past Saturday and now sits at 875-1.
The Pick 5 prior to the huge pay-out on Saturday had a $16,000 and 2 $20,000+ pay-offs. On day 4 the pay was $16,677 and the season average was up to 10,730-1. Remember the Pick 3-4-5’s are all 50-cent bets so you double the pay-off to get the traditional #-1 odds.
On day 9 the pay-off was $28,860 and a season average of 12,345-1 and then paid $22,254 3 days later on Father’s Day and the average odds skyrocketed to 14,012-1. Since then the average odds dropped to 9,302-1 after last Thursday but then with the 33k pay on Saturday jumped back to 12,486-1 and after Sunday’s racing where the Pick 5 still paid a healthy $1,605 the season odds dropped to 11,997-1.
Hitting the $33k really took a heck of a handicapping effort and a likely big ticket or and this is my hunch, the winner may have simply been playing birthdates or anniversaries like the Lotto, the winning numbers were 3-1-1-6-7, so a March 11th, 1967 birthdate may have been the magic combination.
There were no favorites to win in this Pick 5 sequence and began with a 9-1 shot defeating an odds-on 2-5 choice in the 1st leg. In the 2nd race of the P5, a 3-1 shot won but was the 3rd favorite of a 6 horse field with 5 horses between 5-2 and 5-1. The 3rd winner was 5-1 but it was a field of 8 with 2 2-1 shots, the 5-1 winner and a 6-1 followed by a pair of 10-1’s, a 17-1 and the long shot that was a reasonable 21-1. In the 4th leg there was a heavy 1-1 that didn’t hit the board, a 2-1 shot that just failed to last as a 6-1 won with a 9-1 a head back. In the final leg, a 17-1 shot defeated a 7-1, I am not sure it would have mattered which horse of the two in a head bob photo would have changed the outcome of just 1 winner as a 17-1 shot got the better of a 7-1 but the 17-1 certainly assured the lone winning ticket.
Now you know why I am guessing maybe a birthdate could have been the only way to come up with this winning combination.
We should point out although the $33k is a huge pay-out it is not the largest pay of the year, that goes to a single winning ticket holder in the 20-cent Jackpot 6 on June 23 that had a $60,000+ carry-over and returned $81,409.82 and works out to be a massive 407,048-1 odds.
The other massive pay-off was Sunday’s Super Hi-5 (A Pentafecta) where you have to pick the top 5 horses in exact order of finish. The Super Hi-5 returned $5,070 and really was one that was hittable not that a Lotto number player couldn’t have had the 6-2-4-8-7 combination.
The field of 9 top 3 favorites finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd. 4-1 won followed by the 2-1 favorite 2nd and 3rd place top the 3-1 2nd choice. A 14-1 shot ran 4th and the longest shot on the board got up for 5th at 37-1. To box the top 3 finishers and go all with all for 4th and 5th position is a $90 bet. Again, for those trying to play on a budget teaming up with others can make these wagers very reasonable and still get paid well.
Week 10 begins tonight (Thursday) with a 6pm post time and continues on Saturday at 6:30 and Sunday at 2:30. Two Stakes races on tap for Sunday as well for two 2-year-olds, the Angie C and the King County Express Stakes. Tonight there is a big carry-over in the 20-cent Pick 6 Jackpot of $20,428.
Below is for stat geeks with high pays, average odds and pays followed by the leader boards of Jockeys, Trainers and Owners.
Average Pay Odds
Here are the average pay-out odds of the following wagers with season highs noted:
$2 Win average season pay $9.60 (7-2), peak pay-out $10.32 (4-1) The $2 win has not been higher than 4-1 or lower than 7-2 all season.
$1 Exacta average season pay $27.60 (26-1), peak pay-out average was $29.19 (28-1)
50-cent Trifecta average season pay $70.40 (139-1), peak pay-out average was $73.50 (146-1)
10-cent Superfecta average season pay $68.67 (685-1), peak pay-out was $75.16 (750-1)
50-cent Pick 3 average season pay $80.27 (159-1), peak pay-out was $101.09 (201-1)
50-cent Pick 4 average season pay $438.36 (875-1), peak pay-out was $641.14 (1,281-1)
50-cent Pick 5 average season pay $5,999.29 (11,997-1), peak pay-out was $7,006.64 (14,012-1)
Top Pays for each wager for the season
Largest pay-outs |
Details |
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$2 Win |
$54.20 |
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino |
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$2 Place |
$28.40 |
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino |
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$2 Show |
$17.60 |
6/2 R2 #5 Special Lesson 44-1 Alex Anaya |
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$1 Exacta |
$306.90 |
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino to #8 Grinder Sparksaglo 6-1 Julien Couton |
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.50 Tri |
$786.45 |
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino to #8 Grinder Sparksaglo 6-1 Julien Couton to #7 Candy Zip 2-1 Juan Gutierrez |
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.10 Super |
$1,015.82 |
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino to #8 Grinder Sparksaglo 6-1 Julien Couton to #7 Candy Zip 2-1 Juan Gutierrez to #2 So Lucky 6-1 Jennifer Whitaker |
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.50 Hi-5 |
$5,070.80 |
7/11/2021 R9 #6 Whidbey Prince 4-1 (Matias) to #2 Grey Point 2-1 (Couton) to #4 Run Cordell Run 3-1 (Barber) to #8 Bullet Bay 14-1 (Scriver) to #7 High Speed Chase 37-1 (Anaya) |
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Largest Carry-Over |
$6,111 |
6/16 R8 |
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$1 DD |
$235.20 |
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 (Zunino) to #5 Blowing Bayou 9-2 (Cruz) |
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.50 Pick 3 |
$560.65 |
6/3 R3 #2 Lodestone 5-1 (Zunino) to #1 Cascade Dancer 7-1 (Matias) to #7 Slew's Tiz Whiz 20-1 (Martinez) |
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.50 Pick 4 |
$4,390.25 |
6/16 R5 #5 M Fast 8-1 (Gutierrez) to #8 Master Recovery 1-1 (Gutierrez) to #9 Reelfoot 26-1 (Zunino) to #5 Blowing Bayou 9-2 (Cruz) |
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.50 Pick 5 |
$33, 298.95 |
7/10/2021 R4 #3 Taling Eyes 9-1 (Gutierrez) to #1 Classic Leah 3-1 (Couton), to #1 Miss Monique 5-1 (Matias) to #6 Lolo Paniolo 6-1 (Gutierrez) to #7 Frieburg 17-1 (Martinez) |
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.20 Jpot 6 |
$81,409.82 |
6/23 R3 #2 Daddy's Little Girl 8-1 (Couton) to #4 Rita Lorraine 2-1 (Gutierrez) to #3 L D' Rado Goldrush 5-1 (Radke) to #1 Buckly Bay 3-5 (Cruz) to Spittin Image 6-5 (Cruz) to #7 Haynesfield Hit 4-1 (Zunino) |
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Largest Carry-Over |
6/20 $64,738 |
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Other Stats
Race Days: 19
# of Races: 159
Average # of races per race: 8.4
# of Starters: 1,071
Average # of starters per day: 56.4
Average # of starters per race: 6.7
Total Handle: 27,467,272
Average handle per day: 1,445,646
Average handle per race: 172,750
The Leader Board
Jockey Leaders
| Jockey Standings by Wins | Mounts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Win % | Top 3 % | Top 4 % | Earnings | Earnings rank | ||
| 1 | Alex Cruz | 147 | 37 | 27 | 29 | 19 | 25% | 63% | 76% | 403,109 | 1 | |
| 2 | Julien Couton | 139 | 32 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 23% | 52% | 64% | 379,210 | 2 | |
| 3 | Juan Gutierrez | 123 | 29 | 23 | 17 | 16 | 24% | 56% | 69% | 333,710 | 3 | |
| 4 | Javiar Matias | 79 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 16% | 48% | 59% | 169,064 | 4 | |
| 5 | Kevin Radke | 98 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 20 | 10% | 38% | 72% | 144,956 | 5 | |
| 6 | Alex Anaya | 93 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 10% | 44% | 66% | 137,108 | 6 | |
| 7 | Jose Zunino | 75 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11% | 32% | 47% | 106,830 | 7 | |
| 8 | Franklin Ceballos | 61 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11% | 46% | 66% | 87,631 | 9 | |
| 9 | Heribert Martinez | 69 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 7% | 33% | 42% | 103,591 | 8 | |
| 10 | Jennifer Whitaker | 33 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12% | 39% | 58% | 59,463 | 10 | |
| 11 | Ryan Barber | 30 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7% | 40% | 50% | 38,976 | 11 | |
| 12 | Cerapio Figueroa | 33 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3% | 27% | 52% | 29,053 | 13 | |
| 12 | Kevin Orozco | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 31,220 | 12 | |
| 12 | Sean Gilpin | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9% | 36% | 55% | 10,532 | 16 | |
| 15 | Connie Doll | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0% | 13% | 31% | 9,828 | 17 | |
| 15 | Francisco Diaz-Lopz | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 6,358 | 20 | |
| 15 | James Wooten Jr | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 21% | 21% | 8,670 | 18 | |
| 15 | Lorenzo Lopez | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 33% | 67% | 2,619 | 21 | |
| 15 | Bryson Butterfly | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0% | 19% | 31% | 7,975 | 19 | |
| 15 | Irving Orozco | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 50% | 75% | 11,288 | 15 | |
| 15 | Joree Scriver | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 60% | 100% | 13,647 | 14 | |
| 15 | Santos Rivera | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 447 | 23 | |
| 15 | McKenna Anderson | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1,470 | 22 | |
| 15 | Geovanni Franco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 375 | 24 | |
| 15 | Nicolle Disdier | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 210 | 25 | |
Trainer Leaders (Minimum 3 wins)
| Trainer Standings | Starts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Win % | Top 3 % | Top 4 % | Earnings | Earnings rank | ||
| 1 | Joe Toye | 44 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 36% | 61% | 73% | 128,379 | 3 | |
| 2 | Vince Gibson | 58 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21% | 41% | 49% | 133,304 | 1 | |
| 3 | Ari Herbertson | 24 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 46% | 79% | 88% | 74,256 | 10 | |
| 4 | Jeff Metz | 37 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22% | 54% | 62% | 73,765 | 11 | |
| 5 | Blaine Wright | 31 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23% | 48% | 61% | 129,864 | 2 | |
| 5 | Tim McCanna | 18 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 39% | 56% | 67% | 53,998 | 14 | |
| 5 | Frank Lucarelli | 61 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11% | 41% | 52% | 109,087 | 4 | |
| 8 | Candice Cryderman | 40 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 15% | 63% | 70% | 91,105 | 6 | |
| 8 | Charles Essex | 28 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 21% | 64% | 79% | 77,121 | 8 | |
| 8 | Howard Belvoir | 41 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 12% | 41% | 56% | 72,104 | 12 | |
| 8 | Chris Stenslie | 29 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21% | 48% | 55% | 102,843 | 5 | |
| 11 | Kay Cooper | 29 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17% | 41% | 59% | 79,102 | 7 | |
| 12 | Jorge Rosales | 31 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 13% | 55% | 61% | 52,626 | 15 | |
| 13 | Robert Baze | 23 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13% | 52% | 74% | 38,888 | 21 | |
| 13 | Jose Raudales | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 42% | 58% | 19,955 | 30 | |
| 13 | Roy Lumm | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18% | 53% | 71% | 55,893 | 13 | |
| 13 | Tom Wenzel | 33 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9% | 42% | 58% | 75,073 | 9 | |
| 13 | O A Martinez Jr | 31 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10% | 35% | 42% | 44,272 | 18 | |
| 13 | Rigiberto Velasquez | 26 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 12% | 54% | 81% | 45,112 | 17 | |
| 13 | Kenneth Person | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25% | 58% | 83% | 36,254 | 23 | |
Owner Leaders (Minimum 3 wins)
| Owner Standings by Wins | Starts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Win % | Top 3 % | Earnings | Earnings rank | |||||
| 1 | Greg, Chuck Conley & Terra Firma Farm | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 59% | 71% | $70,834 | 3 | ||||
| 2 | John Parker | 32 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 19% | 69% | $85,513 | 1 | ||||
| 3 | Gary, Deborah, Jeff & Peyton Lusk | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 71% | 71% | $76,474 | 2 | ||||
| 3 | Scott Herbertson | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 83% | 100% | $30,491 | 10 | ||||
| 5 | Johnny Taboada | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 36% | 64% | $30,167 | 11 | ||||
| 6 | Fred & Cindy Desimone | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 43% | 57% | $22,040 | 19 | ||||
| 6 | William Jensen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 67% | $28,590 | 9 | ||||
| 6 | One Horse Will Do Corp & Chris Stenslie | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20% | 47% | $47,153 | 4 | ||||
| 6 | BG Stables | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30% | 40% | $19,244 | 23 | ||||
Top Winning Horses (Minimum 2 wins)
3-Atta Boy Billy
3-Bella’s Back
3-Judicial
3-Papa’s Golden Boy**
3-Rita Lorraine
2-All American Hero
2-Awesome Image
2-Blazingbellablu
2-Blowing Bayou
2-Buckley Bay
2-Burn Me Twice
2-Crest Drive
2-Daffodil Sweet*
2-Float On
2-I Want One
2-Mean Sharon
2-Mike Man’s Gold
2-Ms Lynn*
2-Queen Breezy
2-Reelfoot
2-Spittin Image
2-Zatter
*= Stakes Win
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