Emerald Downs: The Betting Parlor and Leader Boards thru week 9

Paul Beattie

7/14/2021

The Betting Parlor

There were two season high returns in week 9 starting with the Pick 5. The 50-cent Pick 5 on Saturday that returned one lucky ticket holder $33,298.95. Yep, just 1 winning ticket on Saturday. This was and has been much to the contrary of the horizontal bets (the pick 3, 4, 5, 6 and DD) recently and is usually what happens in a race season.

The consecutive win bets usually pay a lot more early in a season as bettors are trying to get a feel for who is ready to run, which barns are hot, how will shipping horses do compared to those who have been in training and so on.

The Pick 3 high average pay-offs was peaked on day 9, June 16, with a 375-1 average pay for that day and pushing the overall average to it’s highest of the season at 201-1. Since then it has dwindled 159-1 with a few days of good pay-outs. The Pick 4 also topped out on June 16th paying off the 3 Pick-4’s of an average of more than $1,500 and boosting the season average to 1,193-1. Since that high point the season average has dropped to as low as 833-1 but got a boost this past Saturday and now sits at 875-1.

The Pick 5 prior to the huge pay-out on Saturday had a $16,000 and 2 $20,000+ pay-offs. On day 4 the pay was $16,677 and the season average was up to 10,730-1. Remember the Pick 3-4-5’s are all 50-cent bets so you double the pay-off to get the traditional #-1 odds.

On day 9 the pay-off was $28,860 and a season average of 12,345-1 and then paid $22,254 3 days later on Father’s Day and the average odds skyrocketed to 14,012-1. Since then the average odds dropped to 9,302-1 after last Thursday but then with the 33k pay on Saturday jumped back to 12,486-1 and after Sunday’s racing where the Pick 5 still paid a healthy $1,605 the season odds dropped to 11,997-1.

Hitting the $33k really took a heck of a handicapping effort and a likely big ticket or and this is my hunch, the winner may have simply been playing birthdates or anniversaries like the Lotto, the winning numbers were 3-1-1-6-7, so a March 11th, 1967 birthdate may have been the magic combination.

Lolo Panieolo part of the 33k Pick 5

There were no favorites to win in this Pick 5 sequence and began with a 9-1 shot defeating an odds-on 2-5 choice in the 1st leg. In the 2nd race of the P5, a 3-1 shot won but was the 3rd favorite of a 6 horse field with 5 horses between 5-2 and 5-1. The 3rd winner was 5-1 but it was a field of 8 with 2 2-1 shots, the 5-1 winner and a 6-1 followed by a pair of 10-1’s, a 17-1 and the long shot that was a reasonable 21-1. In the 4th leg there was a heavy 1-1 that didn’t hit the board, a 2-1 shot that just failed to last as a 6-1 won with a 9-1 a head back. In the final leg, a 17-1 shot defeated a 7-1, I am not sure it would have mattered which horse of the two in a head bob photo would have changed the outcome of just 1 winner as a 17-1 shot got the better of a 7-1 but the 17-1 certainly assured the lone winning ticket.

Now you know why I am guessing maybe a birthdate could have been the only way to come up with this winning combination.

We should point out although the $33k is a huge pay-out it is not the largest pay of the year, that goes to a single winning ticket holder in the 20-cent Jackpot 6 on June 23 that had a $60,000+ carry-over and returned $81,409.82 and works out to be a massive 407,048-1 odds. 

The other massive pay-off was Sunday’s Super Hi-5 (A Pentafecta) where you have to pick the top 5 horses in exact order of finish. The Super Hi-5 returned $5,070 and really was one that was hittable not that a Lotto number player couldn’t have had the 6-2-4-8-7 combination.

The field of 9 top 3 favorites finished 1st, 2nd and 3rd. 4-1 won followed by the 2-1 favorite  2nd and 3rd place top the 3-1 2nd choice. A 14-1 shot ran 4th and the longest shot on the board got up for 5th at 37-1. To box the top 3 finishers and go all with all for 4th and 5th position is a $90 bet. Again, for those trying to play on a budget teaming up with others can make these wagers very reasonable and still get paid well.

Week 10 begins tonight (Thursday) with a 6pm post time and continues on Saturday at 6:30 and Sunday at 2:30. Two Stakes races on tap for Sunday as well for two 2-year-olds, the Angie C and the King County Express Stakes. Tonight there is a big carry-over in the 20-cent Pick 6 Jackpot of $20,428.

Below is for stat geeks with high pays, average odds and pays followed by the leader boards of Jockeys, Trainers and Owners.

Average Pay Odds

Here are the average pay-out odds of the following wagers with season highs noted:

$2 Win average season pay $9.60 (7-2), peak pay-out $10.32 (4-1) The $2 win has not been higher than 4-1 or lower than 7-2 all season.

$1 Exacta average season pay $27.60 (26-1), peak pay-out average was $29.19 (28-1)

50-cent Trifecta average season pay $70.40 (139-1), peak pay-out average was $73.50 (146-1)

10-cent Superfecta average season pay $68.67 (685-1), peak pay-out was $75.16 (750-1)

50-cent Pick 3 average season pay $80.27 (159-1), peak pay-out was $101.09 (201-1)

50-cent Pick 4 average season pay $438.36 (875-1), peak pay-out was $641.14 (1,281-1)

50-cent Pick 5 average season pay $5,999.29 (11,997-1), peak pay-out was $7,006.64 (14,012-1)

Top Pays for each wager for the season

Largest pay-outs
Details
$2 Win
$54.20
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino
$2 Place
$28.40
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino
$2 Show
$17.60
6/2 R2 #5 Special Lesson 44-1 Alex Anaya
$1 Exacta
$306.90
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino to 
#8 Grinder Sparksaglo 6-1 Julien Couton
.50 Tri
$786.45
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino to 
#8 Grinder Sparksaglo 6-1 Julien Couton 
to #7 Candy Zip 2-1 Juan Gutierrez
.10 Super
$1,015.82
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 Jose Zunino to 
#8 Grinder Sparksaglo 6-1 Julien Couton to 
#7 Candy Zip 2-1 Juan Gutierrez to 
#2 So Lucky 6-1 Jennifer Whitaker
.50 Hi-5
$5,070.80
7/11/2021 R9 #6 Whidbey Prince 4-1 (Matias) 
to #2 Grey Point 2-1 (Couton) 
to #4 Run Cordell Run 3-1 (Barber) 
to #8 Bullet Bay 14-1 (Scriver) 
to #7 High Speed Chase 37-1 (Anaya)
Largest Carry-Over
$6,111
6/16 R8
$1 DD
$235.20
6/16 R7 #9 Reelfoot 26-1 (Zunino) 
to #5 Blowing Bayou 9-2 (Cruz)
.50 Pick 3
$560.65
6/3 R3 #2 Lodestone 5-1 (Zunino) 
to #1 Cascade Dancer 7-1 (Matias) 
to #7 Slew's Tiz Whiz 20-1 (Martinez)
.50 Pick 4
$4,390.25
6/16 R5 #5 M Fast 8-1 (Gutierrez) 
to #8 Master Recovery 1-1 (Gutierrez) 
to #9 Reelfoot 26-1 (Zunino) 
to #5 Blowing Bayou 9-2 (Cruz)
.50 Pick 5
$33, 298.95
7/10/2021 R4 #3 Taling Eyes 9-1 (Gutierrez) 
to #1 Classic Leah 3-1 (Couton), 
to #1 Miss Monique 5-1 (Matias) 
to #6 Lolo Paniolo 6-1 (Gutierrez) 
to #7 Frieburg 17-1 (Martinez)
.20 Jpot 6
$81,409.82
6/23 R3 #2 Daddy's Little Girl 8-1 (Couton) 
to #4 Rita Lorraine 2-1 (Gutierrez) 
to #3 L D' Rado Goldrush 5-1 (Radke) 
to #1 Buckly Bay 3-5 (Cruz) to Spittin Image 6-5 (Cruz) 
to #7 Haynesfield Hit 4-1 (Zunino)
Largest Carry-Over
6/20  $64,738

Other Stats

Race Days: 19
# of Races: 159
Average # of races per race: 8.4
# of Starters: 1,071
Average # of starters per day: 56.4
Average # of starters per race: 6.7
Total Handle: 27,467,272
Average handle per day: 1,445,646
Average handle per race: 172,750

The Leader Board

Jockey Leaders

Alex Cruz
Julien Couton
Juan Gutierrez
Javier Matias

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jockey Standings by Wins Mounts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Win % Top 3 % Top 4 % Earnings Earnings rank
1 Alex Cruz 147 37 27 29 19 25% 63% 76% 403,109 1
2 Julien Couton 139 32 22 18 17 23% 52% 64% 379,210 2
3 Juan Gutierrez 123 29 23 17 16 24% 56% 69% 333,710 3
4 Javiar Matias 79 13 12 13 9 16% 48% 59% 169,064 4
5 Kevin Radke 98 10 14 13 20 10% 38% 72% 144,956 5
6 Alex Anaya 93 9 15 17 17 10% 44% 66% 137,108 6
7 Jose Zunino 75 8 9 7 11 11% 32% 47% 106,830 7
8 Franklin Ceballos 61 7 9 12 12 11% 46% 66% 87,631 9
9 Heribert Martinez 69 5 11 7 6 7% 33% 42% 103,591 8
10 Jennifer Whitaker 33 4 3 6 6 12% 39% 58% 59,463 10
11 Ryan Barber 30 2 5 5 3 7% 40% 50% 38,976 11
12 Cerapio Figueroa 33 1 4 4 8 3% 27% 52% 29,053 13
12 Kevin Orozco 4 1 0 0 1 25% 25% 50% 31,220 12
12 Sean Gilpin 11 1 0 3 2 9% 36% 55% 10,532 16
15 Connie Doll 16 0 1 1 3 0% 13% 31% 9,828 17
15 Francisco Diaz-Lopz 5 0 0 0 2 0% 0% 40% 6,358 20
15 James Wooten Jr 14 0 2 1 0 0% 21% 21% 8,670 18
15 Lorenzo Lopez 3 0 0 1 1 0% 33% 67% 2,619 21
15 Bryson Butterfly 16 0 2 1 2 0% 19% 31% 7,975 19
15 Irving Orozco 4 0 0 2 1 0% 50% 75% 11,288 15
15 Joree Scriver 5 0 1 2 2 0% 60% 100% 13,647 14
15 Santos Rivera 3 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 447 23
15 McKenna Anderson 7 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 1,470 22
15 Geovanni Franco 1 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 375 24
15 Nicolle Disdier 1 0 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 210 25

Trainer Leaders (Minimum 3 wins)

Candi Cryderman
Chris Stenslie
Kay Penney-Cooper
Frank Lucarelli

 

 

 

 

 

 

Trainer Standings Starts 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Win % Top 3 % Top 4 % Earnings Earnings rank
1 Joe Toye 44 16 3 8 5 36% 61% 73% 128,379 3
2 Vince Gibson 58 12 4 4 6 21% 41% 49% 133,304 1
3 Ari Herbertson 24 11 2 6 2 46% 79% 88% 74,256 10
4 Jeff Metz 37 8 6 6 3 22% 54% 62% 73,765 11
5 Blaine Wright 31 7 5 3 4 23% 48% 61% 129,864 2
5 Tim McCanna 18 7 1 3 2 39% 56% 67% 53,998 14
5 Frank Lucarelli 61 7 9 9 7 11% 41% 52% 109,087 4
8 Candice Cryderman 40 6 10 9 3 15% 63% 70% 91,105 6
8 Charles Essex 28 6 9 3 4 21% 64% 79% 77,121 8
8 Howard Belvoir 41 5 5 7 6 12% 41% 56% 72,104 12
8 Chris Stenslie 29 6 3 5 2 21% 48% 55% 102,843 5
11 Kay Cooper 29 5 3 4 5 17% 41% 59% 79,102 7
12 Jorge Rosales 31 4 8 5 2 13% 55% 61% 52,626 15
13 Robert Baze 23 3 5 4 5 13% 52% 74% 38,888 21
13 Jose Raudales 12 3 1 1 2 25% 42% 58% 19,955 30
13 Roy Lumm 17 3 5 1 3 18% 53% 71% 55,893 13
13 Tom Wenzel 33 3 6 5 5 9% 42% 58% 75,073 9
13 O A Martinez Jr 31 3 6 2 2 10% 35% 42% 44,272 18
13 Rigiberto Velasquez 26 3 6 5 7 12% 54% 81% 45,112 17
13 Kenneth Person 12 3 2 2 3 25% 58% 83% 36,254 23

Owner Leaders (Minimum 3 wins)

Gary, Deborah, Jeff & Peyton Lusk
Johnny Taboada
John Parker

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner Standings by Wins Starts 1st 2nd 3rd Win % Top 3 % Earnings Earnings rank
1 Greg, Chuck Conley & Terra Firma Farm 17 10 1 1 59% 71% $70,834 3
2 John Parker 32 6 7 9 19% 69% $85,513 1
3 Gary, Deborah, Jeff & Peyton Lusk 7 5 0 0 71% 71% $76,474 2
3 Scott Herbertson 6 5 1 0 83% 100% $30,491 10
5 Johnny Taboada 11 4 1 2 36% 64% $30,167 11
6 Fred & Cindy Desimone 7 3 0 1 43% 57% $22,040 19
6 William Jensen 6 3 0 1 50% 67% $28,590 9
6 One Horse Will Do Corp & Chris Stenslie 15 3 2 2 20% 47% $47,153 4
6 BG Stables 10 3 0 1 30% 40% $19,244 23

Top Winning Horses (Minimum 2 wins)

Atta Boy Billy
Papa’s Golden Boy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3-Atta Boy Billy
3-Bella’s Back
3-Judicial
3-Papa’s Golden Boy**
3-Rita Lorraine
2-All American Hero
2-Awesome Image
2-Blazingbellablu
2-Blowing Bayou
2-Buckley Bay
2-Burn Me Twice
2-Crest Drive
2-Daffodil Sweet*
2-Float On
2-I Want One
2-Mean Sharon
2-Mike Man’s Gold
2-Ms Lynn*
2-Queen Breezy
2-Reelfoot
2-Spittin Image
2-Zatter
*= Stakes Win

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